The Limits of Appraisals in Changing Markets

Agent appraisals in South Australia function as assessments, not guarantees. They are formed on recent sales and context about buyer behaviour. As markets move, those assumptions can weaken quickly.


This article breaks down how appraisals work during residential selling. Rather than treating appraisals as fixed, it explains their risks within a live selling campaign in South Australia.



What a property appraisal is and is not


An appraisal reflects current evidence. It does not predict buyer behaviour with certainty. Appraisals assume stable conditions at the time they are prepared.


Because markets move, appraisal accuracy can degrade. That does not imply incompetence; it highlights that appraisals are context bound.



Misinterpreting comparable sales


Misalignment happens when assumptions break. Algorithmic tools often flatten differences between suburbs and buyer pools.


Recent transactions can also mislead if read without context. One result reflects conditions at that moment, not necessarily current sentiment.



Differences between estimates and appraisals


AVMs look exact, but they are modelled results. They lack real-time buyer behaviour.


Professional appraisals incorporate buyer feedback. Such assessment is imperfect, but it adapts faster than static models.



Why appraisals age quickly


Delay risk emerges when markets shift between appraisal and launch. Supply movements can change urgency.


An appraisal prepared weeks earlier may miss reality. Such mismatch often explains extended days on market.



How to detect shifting market feedback


Thin inspections often signals appraisal issues. Silence is information, not reassurance.


Updating context early helps preserve leverage. Within SA, appraisals work best when treated as reference frames, not fixed truths.

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